Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.159321 0.186483 0.216361 0.251596 0.291938 0.336608 0.389739
2025-11-02 0.112591 0.148768 0.192964 0.250579 0.323317 0.411673 0.526655
2025-11-09 0.085768 0.124265 0.175148 0.246575 0.343367 0.468949 0.643007
2025-11-16 0.068177 0.106783 0.161293 0.242634 0.359400 0.519136 0.751894
2025-11-23 0.054250 0.091206 0.146584 0.233845 0.365626 0.554402 0.841597
2025-11-30 0.048975 0.087403 0.147926 0.247689 0.404743 0.638294 1.006158
2025-12-07 0.040506 0.076824 0.136978 0.240713 0.410902 0.673477 1.101334
2025-12-14 0.033622 0.067606 0.126665 0.232954 0.414206 0.703581 1.190110
2025-12-21 0.028410 0.060397 0.118568 0.227533 0.420147 0.737521 1.286669
2025-12-28 0.025399 0.056773 0.116202 0.231552 0.442014 0.798517 1.430988
2026-01-04 0.023333 0.054642 0.116219 0.239696 0.471578 0.874307 1.605051
2026-01-11 0.021159 0.051898 0.114636 0.244530 0.495410 0.941819 1.769591
2026-01-18 0.018908 0.048668 0.111788 0.246838 0.515279 1.004842 1.932790
2026-01-25 0.016667 0.045062 0.107680 0.246166 0.529455 1.058904 2.084507
2026-02-01 0.014482 0.041161 0.102355 0.242254 0.536736 1.100608 2.216548
2026-02-08 0.012613 0.037662 0.097376 0.238377 0.543509 1.141569 2.349726
2026-02-15 0.010706 0.033662 0.090632 0.229728 0.539419 1.161066 2.443381
2026-02-22 0.010344 0.033774 0.093636 0.243352 0.583545 1.278122 2.732282
2026-03-01 0.008914 0.030583 0.088091 0.236487 0.582668 1.305092 2.846568
2026-03-08 0.007646 0.027578 0.082537 0.228851 0.579201 1.326269 2.950399
2026-03-15 0.006648 0.025172 0.078165 0.223517 0.580310 1.356812 3.074931
2026-03-22 0.006133 0.024201 0.077518 0.227472 0.603269 1.435137 3.302829
2026-03-29 0.005809 0.023800 0.078405 0.235486 0.636531 1.537854 3.587970